Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005727 0.006366 0.007060 0.007872 0.008798 0.009824 0.011052
2025-06-15 0.004697 0.005570 0.006594 0.007895 0.009514 0.011482 0.014079
2025-06-22 0.004234 0.005243 0.006492 0.008169 0.010394 0.013282 0.017387
2025-06-29 0.003739 0.004784 0.006129 0.008016 0.010644 0.014244 0.019675
2025-07-06 0.003352 0.004405 0.005807 0.007849 0.010813 0.015065 0.021832
2025-07-13 0.003089 0.004159 0.005627 0.007838 0.011173 0.016171 0.024538
2025-07-20 0.002931 0.004038 0.005599 0.008029 0.011836 0.017789 0.028274
2025-07-27 0.002724 0.003825 0.005417 0.007963 0.012081 0.018767 0.031082
2025-08-03 0.002561 0.003661 0.005288 0.007958 0.012414 0.019911 0.034344
2025-08-10 0.002397 0.003481 0.005116 0.007865 0.012581 0.020783 0.037230
2025-08-17 0.002281 0.003366 0.005035 0.007907 0.012977 0.022095 0.041170
2025-08-24 0.002151 0.003217 0.004888 0.007822 0.013133 0.022981 0.044393
2025-08-31 0.001989 0.003013 0.004644 0.007566 0.012983 0.023323 0.046660
2025-09-07 0.001893 0.002910 0.004561 0.007586 0.013353 0.024743 0.051625
2025-09-14 0.001849 0.002889 0.004612 0.007848 0.014213 0.027277 0.059720
2025-09-21 0.001740 0.002750 0.004450 0.007702 0.014247 0.028075 0.063774
2025-09-28 0.001638 0.002618 0.004289 0.007542 0.014234 0.028765 0.067706
2025-10-05 0.001568 0.002535 0.004210 0.007532 0.014528 0.030186 0.073928
2025-10-12 0.001532 0.002508 0.004229 0.007714 0.015255 0.032726 0.083949
2025-10-19 0.001463 0.002421 0.004131 0.007651 0.015433 0.033970 0.090496
2025-10-26 0.001408 0.002353 0.004064 0.007646 0.015742 0.035588 0.098655
2025-11-02 0.001345 0.002269 0.003961 0.007557 0.015844 0.036689 0.105454
2025-11-09 0.001303 0.002220 0.003921 0.007597 0.016257 0.038682 0.115894